National Insurance Crime Bureau Small Decline in Motorcycle Thefts in 2012

Started by Privateer, November 26, 2013, 06:17:40 AM

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Privateer

https://www.nicb.org/newsroom/news-releases/2012-motorcycle-theft-and-recovery-report

DES PLAINES, Ill., Nov. 25, 2013 â€" The National Insurance Crime Bureau (NICB) today released a report on motorcycle thefts in the United States for 2012. The report is based on National Crime Information Center (NCIC) motorcycle theft data for 2012. A total of 46,061 motorcycles were reported stolen in 2012 compared with 46,667 reported stolen in 2011â€"a decrease of 606 thefts or 1 percent.



Month2012 TheftsPercent of Thefts (%)Rank
JANUARY2,4815%11
FEBRUARY2,0895%12
MARCH3,1127%9
APRIL3,5108%7
MAY4,50710%5
JUNE4,76510%3
JULY5,52912%1
AUGUST5,29011%2
SEPTEMBER4,75110%4
OCTOBER4,1719%6
NOVEMBER3,1977%8
DECEMBER2,6596%10


RankMake2012 TheftsPercent of Total Thefts
1American Honda Motor Co., Inc.9,08220%
2Yamaha Motor Corporation7,51716%
3American Suzuki Motor Corporation7,01715%
4Kawasaki Motors Corp., U.S.A.4,83911%
5Harley Davidson, Inc.3,7558%
6Taotao Group Co. Ltd9142%
7Kymco U.S.A., Inc4961%
8KTM Sportmotorcycle AG4421%
9Astronautical Bashan3831%
10Ducati Motor Holding3291%
11Vespa International3261%
12Genuine Cycle2831%
13Bajaj Auto., Ltd2791%
14 Goldenvale, Inc. Roketa2701%
15Kaitong Motorcycle Manufacture Co., Ltd224<1%
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Lucumon

A few thoughts:

1. Is a 1% decrease statistically significant?  I dont think this decrease is sufficient for a conclusion that motorcycle thefts are going down.  The 2010 to 2011 decrease of 7.5% if you follow the link and review the documents is a bit more substantial... but still I'd like to see the last 10 years worth of data.  I am guessing this has decreased in the same manner most crimes have since 1993.

2. With population increasing, the thefts per population would be lower... but still not significant.

3. Fark, Fairfax City is close by. (again, read the .pdf from the article)

4. It is nice to see Ducati so far down that % of thefts list... anyone have any idea why?  Is the immobilizer credited for this?
1980 Honda CMT 400 - Sold
2012 Ducati Monster 1100 Evo

ducatiz

Very unlikely that change is significant.

That change could be accounted for by a number of factors.

Also, compare changes from 2007-2010:

https://www.nicb.org/newsroom/news-releases/2010-motorcycle-theft-report

65,000 bikes stolen in 2007 and 49,000+ in 2010.
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"Yelling out of cars, turning your speakers out the window to blast your music onto the street, setting off M-80 firecrackers, firing automatic weapons into the airâ€"these are all well and good. But none of them create a merry atmosphere of insouciance and bonhomie quite like a revving motorcycle.

hbliam

Quote from: Lucumon on November 26, 2013, 06:49:19 AM

4. It is nice to see Ducati so far down that % of thefts list... anyone have any idea why?  Is the immobilizer credited for this?

There are 3000% more thefts of Honda because there are 10000% more Honda's to steal. Nothing to do with the immobilizer.

Lucumon

Quote from: hbliam on November 26, 2013, 11:17:09 AM
There are 3000% more thefts of Honda because there are 10000% more Honda's to steal. Nothing to do with the immobilizer.

Good point... then what is the rate of theft per brand type on the road?
1980 Honda CMT 400 - Sold
2012 Ducati Monster 1100 Evo